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Degree Projections
(As of October 2005)
Program Level Degree Projections | Targeted Degree Projections

Degree Projections

Notice: Degree projection updates for 2006 were not required by the state. The program level projections method is currently under revision. The data contained on this page was last updated October 2005.

The UCF Degree Plan for 2005-15 recommends a continued growth approach to meet the educational demands in the state of Florida, with a particular emphasis on the Central Florida metropolitan region as well as the targeted program areas. The growth is intended to support the university’s vision of being the nation’s leading metropolitan research university. The program level degree projections anticipate 10,232 degrees in the 2005-2006 academic year, increasing to 13,996 in the 2014-2015 academic year, an annual growth rate of 3.54% over 9 years.

University Total Projected Degrees by Level Chart

Program Level Degree Projections (Updated October 2005)

The required annual degree projections are available for download with the links below by 6-digit CIP code and degree level. The detailed program level projections indicate that the UCF doctoral and graduate certificate programs will grow quickly. The doctoral programs are growing in size and number due to the expansion of our research efforts. Film and digital media has significant growth both at the baccalaureate and the master’s levels, in addition to a very large increase in certificates through the Florida Interactive Entertainment Academy. Among the largest gainers in expected baccalaureate degree production over the next ten years are as follows: Elementary and Early Childhood Education, Liberal Studies, Management, Molecular and Micro Biology, Marketing, Criminal Justice, Accounting, and Legal Studies.

Targeted Degree Projections (Updated October 2005)

In response to the university’s commitment to targeted degree areas, the Provost has committed one million dollars ($1,000,000) in the 2005-06 fiscal year to support initiatives that will increase the production of targeted degrees.

The requests were submitted for transitional funding to increase degree production in a targeted discipline. The funding is not meant to augment the 3-year transitional funding for new programs, which is aimed at increased credit-hour production, rather than degree completion. One early measure of success will be the yearly increases of majors in the targeted program. Funding is awarded for three years with extension possible for and additional two years. The components of the requests included: a summary of requested funding per year, targeted increases in number of majors, methods to achieve this goal, and why special funding is needed and how the financial resources will be used.

The following nine targeted program proposals will be funded for FY05-06:
College of Education

Supporting Teaching Education Professionals (STEP)
Mathematics Education and Science Education

College of Engineering and Computer Science Engineering/Pre-Engineering Program (Cocoa Campus)
Engineering Technology (Cocoa Campus)
College of Health and Public Affairs Accelerated Nursing
Regional Campuses Nursing-Regional Campuses
Math and Science (with College of Arts & Sciences)
Student Development and Enrollment Services Undeclared Transfers Major Changes
Undergraduate Studies STEM Retention: BS in Math, Physics & Engineering
The revised degrees projections this year take into account the new initiatives by the university to increase the number of targeted degrees in the areas of Critical Needs, Economic Development, and Emerging Technologies.
2005-06
2006-07
2007-08
2008-09
2009-10
2010-11
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
2014-15
9-Year
Annual Growth
Rate
Critical Needs: Education
250
254
263
272
284
290
297
303
305
312
 
2.5%
Critical Needs: Health Care
713
761
798
820
844
876
899
919
940
965
 
3.4%
Total Critical Needs
963
1,015
1,061
1,092
1,128
1,166
1,196
1,222
1,245
1,277
 
3.2%
Emerging Technologies: Computer Science & Information Technology
698
720
746
793
846
880
918
957
1,014
1,026
 
4.4%
Emerging Technologies: Design & Construction
99
103
106
112
118
120
124
126
129
133
 
3.3%
Emerging Technologies: Electronic Media & Simulation
209
205
226
250
271
292
313
333
352
374
 
6.7%
Emerging Technologies: Mechanical Science & Manufacturing
672
704
741
776
815
846
877
910
936
961
 
4.1%
Emerging Technologies: Natural Science & Technology
367
391
420
469
496
521
542
567
584
602
 
5.7%
Emerging Technologies: Medical Science & Health Care
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
 
Total Emerging Technologies
2,045
2,123
2,239
2,400
2,546
2,659
2,774
2,893
3,015
3,096
 
4.7%
Economic Development: High-Wage/High Demand Jobs
1,080
1,105
1,142
1,183
1,227
1,254
1,280
1,313
1,334
1,365
 
2.6%
Total Targeted
4,088
4,243
4,442
4,675
4,901
5,079
5,250
5,428
5,594
5,738
 
3.8%
Total Non-Targeted
6,144
6,396
6,641
7,038
7,282
7,513
7,709
7,910
8,072
8,258
 
3.3%
Total Degrees
10,232
10,639
11,083
11,713
12,183
12,592
12,959
13,338
13,666
13,996
 
3.5%
The initial estimates of degree production at the program level were computed by applying the five year historical program degree production rate to the program enrollment projections. Due to the increased focus on the targeted degree production, the model was then revised to include additional growth in the targeted degree areas. An additional 5% growth was applied to enrollment, and a gradual increase in degree production was applied from 6.05% in 2005 to 10.25% in 2014. This increased not only the number of degrees forecasted, but also the degree production rate. These numbers were sent to each of the college representatives for their review. Additional increases in the number of targeted degrees were made by the college representatives based on their knowledge of programs focused on increasing targeted degree production. The following chart and table show the degree production prediction from last year as compared to this year. The number of targeted degrees is higher in the revised projection, while the projection of non-targeted degrees is lowered. Also, targeted degrees are expected to increase at a higher rate than last year’s projection. Last year, the number of targeted degrees were projected to grow from 3,456 in 2004-2005 to 4,805 in 2013-2014, a 3.43% annual growth rate over nine years. This year, the revised projection has the number of targeted degrees growing from 4,088 in 2005-2006 to 5,738 in 2014-2015, a 3.84% annual growth rate over nine years.

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